N. Korea Wants Economic And Nuclear Expansion, But One Undercuts The Other | KERA News

N. Korea Wants Economic And Nuclear Expansion, But One Undercuts The Other

May 9, 2016
Originally published on May 10, 2016 1:35 pm

A once-in-a-generation gathering of the North Korean ruling party is happening in Pyongyang, where leader Kim Jong Un has laid out his plans for the country's future. But the new vision for North Korea — parallel economic and nuclear development — looks a lot like the old one.

In a broadcast shown on state television, Kim spoke to thousands of the ruling party elite for a marathon three hours on Saturday, with occasional interruptions of frenzied applause from the audience.

Kim reaffirmed his country's controversial commitment to nuclear weapons, pledged not to use them unless under threat and laid out a broad five-year economic plan through 2020. That's something the North hasn't had in decades.

"Well, good for them, but it's still central economic planning," said Adam Cathcart, who teaches Chinese history at the University of Leeds and runs SinoNK.com, a site digging into Chinese-North Korean relations. "They've shown little capacity to carry out previous plans.

"Is there a change in policy line? We don't really see any evidence of that yet," Cathcart said.

As in previous policy statements, Kim said he wants to "expand and develop external economic relations."

But analysts believe his nuclear ambitions undercut his economic ones. North Korea's insistence on developing nuclear weapons makes it such a pariah — and a target of strict sanctions — that investors, even from longtime ally China, are staying away.

"This notion that North Korea is going to go forward in some way without Chinese backing and with probably more pressure from China rather than less," Cathcart said, "doesn't bode particularly well on a lot of these promises that Kim Jong Un is making."

This is the first Workers' Party Congress in North Korea in 36 years. The few outsiders invited to Pyongyang, the North's showcase capital, have seen only the pageantry on the streets.

"We've seen people clearly rehearsing around town for the last several days with flags and flowers," said Los Angeles Times Beijing bureau chief Julie Makinen. She's among the 100 foreign journalists in North Korea for an 11-day trip overlapping with the Congress.

Their hosts dropped the journalists off on a street corner within walking distance of the hall, but that's as close as they got.

"Everyone thought we were going to walk over to the building but instead they told us to walk back to the buses and drove us back to the hotel," Makinen said.

For its part, neighboring South Korea responded to Kim's speech by saying it would never accept the North as a nuclear state.

"Our government will not close the doors on conversation, but if North Korea continues its nuclear weapons and provocations, we will confront them with even stronger sanctions," said South Korean Unification Ministry spokesman Jeong Joon-hee. "North Korea will need to show a genuine stance toward de-nuclearization."

That response is an indication the North's relations with its neighbors are unlikely to change. But in Pyongyang, there's nothing but praise for the dynastic "Supreme Leader," as he is called — at least among the North Koreans who agreed to speak with the outside press.

"People have the sense that this is really ushering in the era of Kim Jong Un, I think," Makinen says.

So far, the era of Kim Jong Un is limited to spruced-up streets in Pyongyang and a new anthem in his honor. Whether substantive change will follow is unclear. The promises, so far, don't go much beyond the pomp.

Haeryun Kang contributed to this story.

Copyright 2018 NPR. To see more, visit http://www.npr.org/.

DAVID GREENE, HOST:

OK. This happens in North Korea maybe just once in a generation. The ruling party has gathered in the capital, Pyongyang. Leader Kim Jong Un has laid out his plans for the country's future. As NPR's Elise Hu reports, the new vision for North Korea looks a lot with the old one.

(SOUNDBITE OF MUSIC)

ELISE HU, BYLINE: Inside a stark white hall with a giant star projected on the ceiling, 3,000 North Korean loyalists filled every seat for the first Worker's Party Congress in 36 years. The outsiders invited to Pyongyang, the showcase capital, have seen only the pageantry on the streets.

JULIE MAKINEN: We've seen people clearly rehearsing around town for the last several days with flags and flowers.

HU: That's the Los Angeles Times Beijing Bureau Chief Julie Makinen. She's among the 100 foreign journalists in North Korea for an 11-day trip overlapping with the rare event. Their hosts drop them off on a street corner within walking distance of the hall, but that's as close as they got.

MAKINEN: Everyone thought we were going to, like, walk over to the building. But instead, they told us to walk back to the buses and drove us back to the hotel.

HU: What can be seen of the Congress is broadcast by state television.

(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)

SUPREME LEADER KIM JONG UN: (Speaking Korean).

HU: Leader Kim Jong Un spoke to thousands of ruling-party elites for a marathon three hours on Saturday with occasional interruptions of frenzied applause from the audience.

(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)

UNIDENTIFIED CROWD: (Cheering).

HU: Kim reaffirmed his country's controversial commitment to nuclear weapons, pledged not to use them unless under threat and laid out a broad five-year economic plan through 2020. That's something the North hasn't had in decades.

ADAM CATHCART: Well, good for them, but it's still central economic planning. They've shown little capacity to kind of carry out previous plans.

HU: Adam Cathcart teaches Chinese history at the University of Leeds and runs Sino-NK, a site digging into Chinese-North Korean relations.

CATHCART: Is there a change in policy line? We don't really see any evidence of that yet.

HU: As with the previous pledge, Kim Jong Un said he wants to, quote, "expand and develop external economic relations." But analysts believe his nuclear ambitions undercut his economic ones. North Korea's insistence on developing nuclear weapons make it such a pariah and a target of strict sanctions that investors, even from longtime time ally China, are staying away.

CATHCART: This notion that, you know, North Korea's going to go forward in some way without Chinese backing and with probably more pressure from China rather than less doesn't bode particularly well on a lot of these promises that Kim Jong Un is making.

HU: For its part, neighboring South Korea responded to Kim's speech by saying it would never accept the North as a nuclear state. South Korean Unification Ministry Spokesman Jeong Joon Hee.

JEONG JOON-HEE: (Through interpreter) Our government will not close the doors on conversation. But if North Korea continues its nuclear weapons and provocations, we will confront them with even stronger sanctions. North Korea will need to show a genuine stance towards denuclearization.

HU: That response is indication nothing the North said this weekend is helping its ties with the rest of the world. But in Pyongyang, there's nothing but praise for the dynastic Supreme Leader, as he's called, at least among the North Koreans who agreed to speak with outside press. Julie Makinen...

MAKINEN: People have the sense that this is, you know, really ushering in the era of Kim Jong Un, I think.

HU: So far, the era of Kim Jong Un is limited to spruced up streets in Pyongyang and a new anthem in his honor.

(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)

UNIDENTIFIED SINGERS: (Singing in Korean).

HU: "His courage is the heart of North Korea," they sing. But promises so far, don't go much beyond the pomp. Elise Hu, NPR News, Seoul. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.